Capabilities – Blog

Capabilities

The Evolving Landscape of Cyber Defense within the DoD

The Evolving Landscape of Cyber Defense within the DoD

As cyber threats grow increasingly sophisticated, the Department of Defense (DoD) faces critical decisions about organizing and managing its cyber capabilities. Chief among those considerations is whether the DoD should establish a distinct, unified cyber force separate from existing military branches.

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Navigating Change and Nuclear Policy Challenges

Navigating Change and Nuclear Policy Challenges

As the U.S. navigates unprecedented strategic challenges, bipartisan consensus on nuclear policy is more vital than ever. In this new post, SPA Fellow Tom Troyano reflects on lessons from navigating seven presidential transitions and shares insights from the Strategic Posture Commission report. The takeaway: the current nuclear modernization path, while essential, may no longer be enough. From rethinking deterrence posture to preparing for the post-New START era, Troyano outlines a roadmap for ensuring credible, resilient defense strategy.

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From Overconfidence to Realism: Overcoming Bias in Early Cost Forecasting

From Overconfidence to Realism: Overcoming Bias in Early Cost Forecasting

Navigating the complex landscape of program cost estimation requires confronting hidden biases that threaten budgets, timelines, and ultimately mission success. Accurate cost estimating is critical for defense programs aiming to deliver on time, within budget, and with the capabilities needed for today’s warfighter. Yet, cost estimation—especially early in the acquisition process—is often undermined by inherent biases that lead to budget overruns and delayed fielding. Understanding these biases and proactively addressing them significantly improves the accuracy and reliability of cost forecasts.

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